''Is
China Turning Latin? China's balancing act
between power and dependence on the wave
of global imbalances'' |
| Andrew
Martín Fischer |
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While it would seem that
China's huge surpluses amid sustained
growth eliminate any comparative relevance
to Latin America, the paper argues that
analogous vulnerabilities exist. Capital
account volatility and China's relatively
subordinate position within the massive
rerouting of international production
networks via China, point to this. In
fact, overly optimistic appraisals of
China's strength underestimate many
of its persisting structural vulnerabilities
as a contemporary developing country
and distract attention away from important
lessons for other developing countries.
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Financial
Sector Regulation in Developing Countries:
Reckoning after the crisis |
| Anis
Chowdhury |
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The
global financial and economic crisis has
cast serious doubts about the paradigm
of market deregulation that dominated
the last three decades. Although many
developing countries, especially in Asia,
became cautious following the Asian financial
crisis, international financial institutions
continued to advise developing countries
to deregulate, albeit at a slower pace.
However, this paper argues for re-regulating
the financial sector with a view to preventing
system-wide failures and fulfilling development
needs. It highlights the importance of
segregating different parts of the financial
sector as well as controls over both deposit
and lending rates, and the role of government-owned
banks, especially for agriculture and
SMEs. |
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| The
WTO as Barrier to Financial Regulation |
Jayati
Ghosh |
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Many of the financial
regulatory proposals now being considered
by developed countries might not be
feasible given the legally binding commitments
these countries have made under GATS
with respect to financial services liberalisation.
Such WTO rules may therefore get ignored
or GATS may require to be renegotiated,
for the necessary financial sector reforms
to take place.
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The
Perils of Paradigm Maintenance in the Face
of the Crisis |
| Andrew
Fischer |
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This
paper addresses how Keynesian narratives
are being used to reconstitute an orthodox
policy paradigm in the face of the current
economic crisis. These processes of paradigm
maintenance need to be urgently addressed
if the current crisis is to be leveraged
for
a return to a more progressive, inclusive
and developmental policy paradigm in both
the North and the South. Failing this,
current orthodoxies risk being reconstituted
or even reinforced, and we could find
ourselves soon entering a new round of
development debacles similar to those
of early 1980s. |
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| Towards
Genuine Universalism within Contemporary
Development Policy |
Andrew
Fischer |
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It is very difficult to
know the impact of the MDGs on poverty
reduction. On one hand, poverty measurements
are ambigous and on the other hand,
the mechanisms by which MDGs affect
poverty reduction are not clear. This
article argues that the MDGs should
be replaced by a re-politicisation of
the mainstream development agenda, together
with a genuine revival of emphasis on
universalistic modes of social policy
as viable means
of dealing simultaneously with poverty
and inequality.
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| No
Going Back: Why We Cannot Restore Glass-Steagall's
Segregation Of Banking And Finance |
| Jan
Kregel |
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Recently,
a number of authoritative voices have
called for a return to the New Deal Glass-Steagall
legislation as the most appropriate response
to the clear failure
of the 1999 Financial Modernization Act
to provide stability of the financial
system. However, a clear understanding
of the 1933 Banking Act, and subsequent
regulatory interpretation and legislation
suggest that this would be difficult,
if not impossible. A new Glass-Steagall
Act would have to be substantially different
from the original, and some of the internal
structural contradictions that led to
its demise remedied. |
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| Controlling
Dangerous Financial Products through a Financial
Precautionary Principle |
| Gerald
Epstein and James Crotty |
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High risk, opaque, and
complex financial products have been
among the key causes of the current
economic crisis. Not only have these
products helped cause the crisis but
they have also made it extremely difficult
to resolve. In response, a number of
analysts have proposed a requirement
that financial products be approved
by a government regulatory authority
before they can be marketed. In this
paper the authors outline how a financial
products regulatory authority would
work.
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| The
Theory of the Global ''Savings Glut'' |
| Prabhat
Patnaik |
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For
some time now, Mr. Ben Bernanke, Chairman
of
the Federal Reserve Board, has been arguing
that the substantial increase in the U.S.
current account deficit, the swing from
moderate deficits to large surpluses in
''emerging-market countries'', and the significant
decline in long-term real interest rates,
since 1996,
are the fall-out of a world ''savings glut''.
Some, especially authors from the IMF
stable, have gone further to explicitly
link this ''savings glut'' to the world
financial crisis. The present paper is
devoted to a
close examination of this ''savings glut''
theory. |
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| Financial
Innovation and System Design |
| Mario
Tonveronachi
(January 22, 2010) |
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The most relevant financial
innovations have been the result of
active policies pursued by public authorities,
which have intrinsic to them, a specific
financial design based on the freedom
to create and absorb financial risks.
The excesses that are considered as
the main culprits of the current crisis
are therefore a part of the physiology
and not of the pathology of the wanted
financial morphology. As a consequence,
no regulatory reform can be effective
without radical changes in the system
design. A general outline of an alternative
approach to regulation is presented.
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| Financial
Regulation and the Lobbying Activities of
the Financial Sector |
| Carlo
Panico and Antonio Pinto |
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The
breakdown of the Bretton Woods' agreements
and the oil shocks of the Seventies, the
paper argues, changed the management of
financial firms. Flexible exchange rates
created new opportunities for financial
operations while inflation and the decision
of the authorities to attribute high priority
to it accelerated financial innovation.
These phenomena led to a progressive growth
of the turnover of the financial sector,
which strengthened its weight in the economy
and may have favoured the introduction
of legislation reducing the ability of
the authorities to prevent the
rise of systemic risk. |
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| Financial
and Economic Crisis in Eastern Europe
|
| Rainer
Kattel |
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The paper argues that
the foreign savings-led strategy followed
by Eastern European economies created
in 2000s almost a decade long carry
trade of easy credit. That, among other
things, transformed the domestic financial
sector into largely foreign-owned universal
banks with weak linkages with the domestic
productive sector. While the credit
and consumption boom helped gloss over
deeper structural problems then, now
these economies need to step up their
efforts in industrial and innovation
policies for paving their way out of
the crisis.
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Productive
Incoherence in an Uncertain World: Financial
Governance, Policy
Space and Development after the Global Crisis
|
| Ilene
Grabel |
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The
current global financial crisis raises
important questions for scholars of international
political economy. Among the most important
of these is
how it is influencing various dimensions
of financial governance vis-à-vis
developing and transitional economies.
The paper examines three related questions.
How is the crisis affecting the governance
and policies of the IMF; the prospects
of regional alternatives to the Fund;
and the policy space
available to developing and transitional
countries? |
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Global
Liquidity and Financial Flows
to Developing Countries: New Trends in Emerging
Markets and their Implications |
| C.P.
Chandrasekhar |
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This paper argues that
supply-side factors rather than the
financing requirements of developing
countries, explain the recent revival
and surge in capital flows into developing
countries. Financial liberalization
and the globalization of finance have
also resulted in changes
in the financial structure. This in
turn has implications for the accumulation
of risk in markets where agents tend
to herd. Associated with this increasing
risk are changes in the business practices
and motivations of financial firms that
reduce the role of finance in ensuring
broad-based economic growth.
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| Restructuring
the Financial System: A Synthetic Presentation
of an Alternative Approach to Financial
Regulation |
| Mario
Tonveronachi and Elisabetta Montanaro |
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Rejecting
the current approach to financial regulation
based on a laissez faire regime on risk
production and allocation, the authors
advocate that regulation must contain
and monitor systemic risks through a top-down
approach, while the resulting morphology
must be consistent with market discipline
imposing bankruptcies. Apart from rules
for risk containment with a sharp distinction
between leveraged financial institutions,
non-leveraged financial institutions and
non-financial firms, the proposed new
framework also covers rules for derivatives,
markets, transparency, crisis resolution,
multinational financial institutions as
well as supervisors' powers and accountability. |
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| New
Pathways to Oligarchy: Towards a Theory
of Oligarchic Democracy |
| Amiya
Kumar Bagchi |
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In this paper the author
argues that as recorded history has
shown, any republican government could
end up as an oligarchy. In addition
to giving a detailed exposition of the
various strands in the analysis of oligarchy,
the author contends that the Indian
experience will add new chapters to
the emerging corpus of work on oligarchic
democracy.
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