Idols
of the Market-Place  |
| Sumanasiri
Liyanage |
|
| This
note follows up the discussion in the author’s
previous article on the fallacy of neoliberal
economics in laying out an effective development
strategy for developing economies. This
article tackles the issue of free trade
in particular and argues that not only does
neo-classical orthodoxy not sit very well
with historical experience in developed
countries, it is theoretically flawed. |
|
|
The
Dead-End Formula of Neo-Liberal Economics |
| Sumanasiri
Liyanage |
|
This
article argues that given the inherent
ineffectiveness and incorrectness of the
neo liberal policy package in its totality,
which has been forwarded with much vigour
by the international financial institutions,
it is imperative that developing countries
look for other alternatives if they want
a sustained and stable development strategy,
an integral part of which must be protection
for its infant industries. |
|
| |
|
|
| Turkey
and the Long Decade with the IMF: 1998-2008 |
| A.
Erinc Yeldan |
|
This
article provides a critical review of
Turkey’s engagement with the IMF over
the past decade which ended recently.
It argues that the end of the stand by
in May 2008 signifies neither autonomy
from the IMF nor a successful graduation
and a completion of the IMF programme.
Present Turkey is characterized by high
debt, speculative growth environment with
jobless patterns with its government institutions
under siege. |
|
|
| Fear
of Foreigners |
| Jayati
Ghosh |
|
There
has been a significant increase in immigration
into Italy in the past decade and a half,
a significant proportion of which is still
“illegal”. The reasons for this rise have
been demographics, institutional factors
as well as government policy. But recently,
in a clear reversal from the past, the
attitude towards illegal immigration has
hardened in the country, with some of
it targeted especially against developing
country immigrants. |
|
| |
|
|
| Small
Farmers and the Doha Round: Lessons from
Mexico's NAFTA Experience |
| Mritiunjoy
Mohanty |
|
This
policy brief has been written in the context
of the demand of developing countries,
including India, in the on-going Doha
round of WTO negotiations for policy space
within which protect the livelihood security
of their small and marginal farmers. It
uses Mexican agriculture’s integration
experience under NAFTA to establish that
developing country demands are justified.
It points out that despite the gains Mexican
agriculture has made under NAFTA, the
very nature of those gains meant that
the brunt of adjustment was borne by small
and marginal farmers. This came about
both because of the retrenchment of the
state and the nature of investment flows
under NAFTA. Finally it suggests an alternative
agricultural modernisation model centered
on small and marginal farmers and maximisation
of employment growth. |
|
|
| Debt
Relief as if Justice Mattered |
| David
Woodward |
|
This
report is the last in a series from New
Economics Foundation designed to stimulate
progress towards a comprehensive and fair
treatment of the crisis of sovereign debt.
With the end of an unprecedented period
of low interest rates now in sight, such
a goal is needed more than ever. We incluse
a short summary of this paper in section. |
|
| |
|
|
| Is
NAMA a Tool of Development? or Another Manifestation
of Asymmetries in WTO Rules? |
| Mehdi
Shafaeddin |
|
This
brief argues that the collapse of the
talks in the Doha Round actually arises
because of fundamental reasons related
to the contradictions in design and implementation
of WTO rules. There are also inconsistencies
between the agreed Doha Text and the subsequent
proposals made by developed countries
during the process of negotiations. This
article concentrates on the issues related
to NAMA (non-agricultural market access)
as an example. |
|
|
| An
Insider View from George Soros |
| C.P.
Chandrasekhar |
|
Among
some of the voices which are calling for
more attention to the nature of the current
US financial crisis and for a more disinterested
view of the need for state intervention,
an influencial one is that of George Soros.
His book "The New Paradigm for
Financial Markets: The Credit Crash of
2008 and What it Means", being
released in May, challenges the prevailing
sanguine view on the intensity and implications
of the crisis. This review is based on
a reading of the digital edition available
from various ebook sellers and his recent
speeches. |
|
| |
|
|
| The
Empire Strikes Back? |
| Jayati
Ghosh |
|
The
vicious series of attacks on China against
the backdrop of the Beijing Olympics 2008
actually reflects the discomfort of many
countries, the developed foremost among
them, with China’s status as the emerging
economic super power, strengthened by
its sheer size in terms of market and
labour force, its stable polity and rapidly
growing infrastructure. |
|
|
| Are
We Heading for Global Stagflation? |
| Jayati
Ghosh |
|
The
combination of stagnant or falling output
and rising prices in the US economy has
raised fears of a stagflation not only
in the US but in the world economy as
well. This article argues that this prediction
may well be true, though not on the basis
of the monetarist explanation but rather
depends ultimately on international political
economy and the relative strength of different
groups in the world economy. |
|
| |
|
|
| The
Great Unravelling |
| Jayati
Ghosh |
|
With
the crisis in the financial system in
the US, the days of deregulated finance
seems to be over, not only in the US but
globally. Finance capital, which has so
far systematically tried to undermine
the state and demanded autonomy for all
its actions, is now calling to that same
state to save finance from itself. But
this cannot occur without the state at
least trying to reassert some control
over finance. |
|
|
| Leaning
on the State |
| C
P Chandrasekhar |
|
Interestingly,
the very financial liberalisation that
created the problems epitomised by the
sub-prime crisis was predicated on a critique
of the efficacy and correctness of intervention
by the state. But recent developments
show that bail-outs by the government
of institutions that are weakened by wrong
financial decisions are now taken for
granted, thus legitimising interventionism.
Can the "problem" that liberalisation
was directed to "solve" now
itself become the solution to the problems
that liberalisation creates? |
|
| |
|
|
| Oil
Prices and the US Dollar |
| C.P.
Chandrasekhar & Jayati Ghosh. |
|
The
depreciation of the US dollar has been
closely bound up with the movement of
oil prices, as world oil trade is typically
denominated in dollars. Yet this relationship
may now be under threat as the dollar
continues to depreciate and the US economy
tips into recession. This article examines
how oil prices have changed with different
numeraires, and considers the implications
for the future of the oil-dollar nexus. |
|
|
| The
Global Liquidity Paradox |
| C.P.
Chandrasekhar & Jayati Ghosh. |
|
One
global fall-out of the sub-prime crisis
in the US is a liquidity squeeze that
central banks in the developed countries
are attempting to counter by pumping liquidity
into the system and reducing interest
rates. This is indeed paradoxical, since
the crisis in the first place was a result
of an excessive build up of liquidity
in the international system, leading to
a synchronized boom in stock and real
estate markets across the globe. Explaining
the paradox requires understanding how
the liquidity spiral occurs and how such
liquidity is put to use by a liberalized
and globalized financial system. |
|
| |
|
|
| Can
China Become the New Growth Pole for Asia? |
| C.P.
Chandrasekhar & Jayati Ghosh. |
|
With
the US economy clearly tipping into recession,
international attention is now focussed
on the extent to which China and India
can create an alternative growth pole
for the world economy through their increasing
demand. In this article, the authors assess
the potential for China to play such a
role by analysing its trade pattern with
developing Asia. |
|
|
| China's
African Hinterland |
| C.P.
Chandrasekhar & Jayati Ghosh. |
|
China's
growing presence in Africa has led to
arguments that the country is seeking
to meet its growing requirements of primary
products, including oil, by building a
relationship reminiscent of a colonial
past with many African countries. In this
article, the authors examine what the
evidence reveals about this relationship. |
|
| |
|
|
| Closing
all Paths to Trade-led Development? The
IMF Revises Guiding Principles on Surveillance |
| Aldo
Caliari |
|
This
article argues that the International
Monetary Fund’s most recent revision of
the rules that guide its surveillance
of members’ exchange rate policies reduces
policy space for developing countries
to successfully grow using a trade- and
export-led model. This is indeed an irony
as this is precisely the type of growth
that the Fund, and its sister institution,
the Bank, has preached for over twenty
years as the one that developing countries
should pursue. |
|
|
| The
CPI(M) and the Building of Capitalism |
| Prabhat
Patnaik |
|
This
article argues that the reaction of certain
sections of the media and the younger
generation to certain statements made
in the West Bengal CPI(M) political circles
which was read as the CPI(M) having abandoned
socialism is misplaced on three counts.
Their arguments do not distinguish between
socialist and people’s democratic revolutions;
between working within a system and working
not to transcend the system; and between
the Party and Party-led governments. All
of this point towards the complexities
of the Indian revolution and require an
in depth understanding of the political
situation. |
|
| |
|
|
| More
on News Analysis >> |
|
|
|
|
|
|