The Demise of Bank Credit C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh

Growing economies generally show increasing deployment of bank credit – but in India this has been decreasing for years and recently has been almost flat. What does this suggest about the growth process and the health of the Indian economy. Bank_Credit  (Download the full text in PDF format) (This article was originally posted in the Business Line on 1 January 2018.)

‘Riskless Capitalism’ in India: Bank credit and economic activity Rohit Azad, Prasenjit Bose and Zico Dasgupta

The Indian growth story of the 2000s’ cannot be over-simplistically explained as a result of “market-oriented” reforms. Public sector bank credit-financed investments, particularly in the infrastructure sector, played a significant role in sustaining growth, most crucially after the global economic crisis. Such a growth trajectory, however, proved to be unsustainable with the expansionary phase coming to an end in 2011–12 and bad loans piling up in the banking system. Riskless_Capitalism  (Download the full text in PDF format) This article was originally posted in Economic & Political Weekly on August 5, 2017.

Asian Banks in Trouble

Emerging Asia, analysts argue, is all wrapped up in debt. For some time now they have warned about the dangers involved in the rising volume of private debt—both corporate and household—in Asia, as a result of a reversal of the tendency to reduce debt and repair balance sheets that began immediately after the Southeast Asian crisis in 1997. Stated otherwise, the effects on Asian debt of the 1997 and 2008 crises, or the one that primarily affected a few countries in the Asia-Pacific region and the other that affected the centres of developed capitalism, have been very different. While the…

Employment shifts after the Global Crisis C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh

For more than a year now, it has been evident that the ''recovery'' from the Great Recession, which has been visible if sputtering in terms of output growth in the core capitalist countries, has not delivered anything like the increases in employment that were expected. A recent report of the ILO (''Short-term employment and labour market outlook and key challenges in G20 countries'', ILO and OECD September 2011, page 1) points out: ''With economic activity slowing in several major economies and regions, earlier improvements in the labour market are now fading, hiring intentions are softening and there are greater risks…